July 27th, 2015 MLB Betting Tips

Updated: July 27, 2015

A big congratulations goes out to Randy Johnson, Craig Biggio, John Smoltz and Pedro Martinez on their inductions into the Baseball Hall of Fame. These guys were all a big part of my life as a baseball fan and it’s great to see them get the recognition they deserve. I have so many great memories of all of them, like Randy Johnson pitching that one game playoff for the “Refuse to Lose” Mariners or Pedro striking out 17 Yankees, and it’s great to see them enter Cooperstown. Here’s hoping some more great players from the 1990s find their way to the Hall in years to come. Like Barry Bonds, maybe?

Actually, never mind. Forget I said that. I don’t want to open up that can of worms.

We have some new series firing up today so let’s get into business for Monday July 27th.

MLB Tips and Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice:

Johnny Cueto was the big fish landed over the weekend, but tonight the man is Edinson Volquez as the Royals take on the Indians. Before the Cueto trade, Volquez had been pitching like the ace of the Royals. In his last three starts he’s only allowed four runs in eight innings. The Indians, losers of four straight, have Cody Anderson going to the mound. He pitched well in his first four starts, allowing just three runs in four starts, but was exposed a bit in his last start against the Brewers who tagged him for 10 hits in 2 2/3 innings. His success is based on keeping the ball in play and letting his defense do the work, but against an offense like the Royals I’m not sure that is the best game plan. The Indians are simply outmatched this evening. The Royals have the better pitcher, better lineup and better defense. Good night.

Bet Royals +108 at: 5Dimes

Tonight in San Francisco, we have the Brewers against the Giants in what could turn out to be a disastrous evening for the Brewers. Kyle Lohse goes to the mound for them and he has been terrible lately. In his last 11 starts he has allowed 4+ runs in eight of them and he has been hit hard in just about every single one of them. He is not very good anymore and the Brewers have seen his trade value sink to zero over the past couple of months. The Giants offense should handle him easily. He goes against Chris Heston who is coming off a great string of starts against weaker teams. The Brewers have been bad this season, but they still employ Ryan Braun, Jonathan Lucroy, Carlos Gomez and Adam Lind (for now) and can still hit the ball pretty hard on occasion. They’ll score a few to help send this one over.

Bet Over 7.5 runs at: Bovada

Giants hitters are cheaper than Yankees hitters and might out perform them. Stock up at: DraftKings

In our last pick of the night, we have the Mariners hosting the Diamondbacks. A more extreme version of Cody Anderson of the Indians is the Mariners’ Mike Montgomery. He had a great run of starts, including back to back shutouts, come to a screeching halt when he faced a strong Angels offense. Including that game his past three starts have seen him allow five, three and six earned runs. His last start against the Tigers was the worst as he allowed six runs in just 2 2/3 innings as they rocked him for ten hits. If he is anything like he’s been over the past three starts, Paul Goldschmidt and AJ Pollock could have a field day off of him.

The Mariners offense has been strong for the past week (that’s what happens when you play the Tigers and Blue Jays) and should give Robbie Ray a little bit of trouble as well. I like the Diamondbacks more than the Mariners here, but what I really love is the over. It’s set pretty low for a game that could feature some serious fireworks.

Bet Over 7.5 Runs at: 5Dimes

Paul Goldschmidt has been one of the best hitters in the league thus far this season. Against Montgomery he’ll be worth the price at: FanDuel