American League Pennant Betting Odds

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Updated: February 9, 2017

It’s Christmas for baseball fans as not only did Baseball Prospectus release their 2017 PECOTA numbers, but 5Dimes also added their betting odds for the American League and National League pennant winners. Previous to now they only had their World Series odds up so this is just another step closer to Opening Day and a reason to get excited for baseball. Let’s take a closer look at them, starting first with the American League.

The favorite for the American League pennant is the Boston Red Sox at +280. After having that amazing offense last season, they added Chris Sale to their rotation to slot in with former Cy Young winners Rick Porcello and David Price. There is a lot to like about this team, but it remains to be seen if they can get it done in the playoffs. Or if Price can win in the playoffs. The projections have them cruising to the AL East championship though so this is just as good of a bet as anyone.

The 2016 AL champion Cleveland Indians are up next at +400. The Indians have nailed the offseason by replacing Mike Napoli with Edwin Encarnacion who should add a lot to their lineup. They will get starters Danny Salazar and Carlos Carrasco back to add to Corey Kluber and will have a full season of the bullpen that dominated baseball in Andrew Miller and Cody Allen. This is projected as one of the top offenses in baseball as they not only added Encarnacion, but will have Michael Brantley back from injury as well. This team will be dangerous and nobody will look at you funny for picking them to go back to the World Series in 2017.

Houston at +625 is probably the best “value” on the board. PECOTA loves them this year, projecting them as the best team in the AL with the best pitching as well. Their offense should be just as dangerous as the two teams we’ve previously mentioned with Carlos Correa, Jose Altuve and Alex Bregman making up a solid core, but if the pitching is that good they might run away with this thing. That depends on a nice comeback from Dallas Keuchel and a big step forward from Lance McCullers. It’s definitely possible, but there is not guarantee there.

The Yankees, Blue Jays and Rangers come in next and they should all be vying for the Wild Card in 2017. None of them really jumps off the page as the Yankees just don’t seem to have the starting pitching and the other two are due for some regression after last year.

The most interesting bet is probably the Seattle Mariners at +1375. PECOTA loves them at 87 wins and they are probably the “best of the rest” outside of the big three. If a few things go wrong in Houston, like Keuchel not bouncing back as expected, they could win the AL West. They have a really interesting team with Robinson Cano, Kyle Seager and Nelson Cruz making up one of the best top three hitters for any team in the majors and a vastly improved rotation and outfield defense. Plus, we’ve learned over the past few seasons that everything after the regular season is a crapshoot. Get to the final eight and you have a chance. The Mariners should have a chance.

Complete odds are below with win projections from Fangraphs and Baseball Prospectus. You can bet any of these at http://www.5Dimes.com

 

FanGraphs W L Baseball Prospectus W L AL Pennant World Series
Red Sox 92 70 Red Sox 90 72 +280 +475
Indians 91 71 Indians 92 70 +400 +800
Astros 90 72 Astros 93 69 +625 +1200
Yankees 83 79 Yankees 81 81 +940 +2200
Blue Jays 83 79 Blue Jays 81 81 +950 +2200
Rangers 83 79 Rangers 84 78 +1125 +2500
Mariners 83 79 Mariners 87 75 +1375 +3000
Tigers 82 80 Tigers 78 84 +1550 +3500
Orioles 79 83 Orioles 73 89 +1750 +4000
Royals 77 85 Royals 71 91 +1750 +4000
Angels 84 78 Angels 78 84 +4000 +10000
Rays 82 80 Rays 84 78 +4200 +8000
White Sox 70 92 White Sox 76 86 +4700 +10000
Athletics 77 85 Athletics 75 87 +6000 +15000
Twins 74 88 Twins 80 82 +7500 +17500

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