Madison Bumgarner crashed his dirt bike and because of that crash he...
2017 NL Cy Young Winner Odds
The NL Cy Young betting odds are slightly better than the AL Cy Young betting odds in that there are simply less candidates. That doesn’t mean that someone not listed here couldn’t win, but NL pitching is much more top heavy and thus more (seemingly) predictable.
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Let’s take a look at last year’s FIP leaders though just for fun and see if we can discover anything.
It’s surprising to me how good of a case Jonny Cueto actually had last season, but the strikeouts are never there for him and that is something they often look at. Scherzer was a deserving winner last year thanks to that high strikeout total and innings pitched. It really felt like last year was Bumgarner’s year, but that win total was a bit too low.
Sad to be talking about win totals for Cy Young winners in 2017, but that’s what the voting from last year tells us. This award should probably just be a combination of FIP, xFIP and innings pitched. That’s not the world we live in yet, but hopefully one day.
There are two interesting pitchers at +3300 this year. Gerrit Cole who nearly won this award in 2015 and then had an injury plagued 2016. If he can return to form this season on what should be a better Pirates team, he could make some noise in the voting. Kyle Hendricks is another pitcher I like who I thought should’ve won last year with that minuscule 2.01 ERA. I think he could prove that wasn’t a fluke and have another great year this year.
Of course, Hendricks has a lot of competition on his own team as Jake Arrieta was the 2015 winner and Jon Lester had a good case last year as well. It feels like these three will steal votes from each other and that will be it for the Cubs. I’m sure the Cubs would much rather have that World Series trophy than the Cy Young award so I imagine they’re okay with it.
Funnily, the pitcher who ranks tenth in FIP is Jon Gray and there aren’t even odds on him. He’s a great young pitcher, but him ever winning this while playing his home games at Coors Field seems extremely unlikely. So unlikely that Bovada didn’t even feel like putting odds on it.
Honestly, this is Clayton Kershaw‘s award to lose. He was the best pitcher in the league last season and then an injury took the award away from him. If he’s healthy this year that won’t happen again. This guy is just on another planet and there is no one who can touch him right now…
With the possible exception of Noah Syndergaard. The ERA, FIP, xFIP and strikeouts were all there last year. He just needs the innings and wins. This could be a fun race.
Complete Bovada odds are below:
Complete 5Dimes odds as of March 14th, 2017.
National League – Cy Young Odds
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