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2017 AL MVP Odds
In the NL MVP odds it was all about Kris Bryant and Bryce Harper, but in the American League it’s all about Mike Trout. And why not? He’s been the best player in the league in every full season he’s played and he’s only going to be 25 this season. Last season was his best by OPS thanks to a huge, league leading .441 on base percentage. That’s not many points off from being on-base in every other at-bat. Can he hit that level at some point? I wouldn’t put anything past Mike Trout. He is the best player in baseball and I don’t even think it’s close. Bet on Trout. If the writers know what they are doing they will keep giving him this award as long as he’s healthy.
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For this one, I’m looking at playoff teams. That means Red Sox, Indians and Astros. There are other good teams in the league, but I think that these three are the most sure things in the AL this year.
For the Red Sox, it’s gotta be Betts. He nearly won this thing last year and another strong season could see him right back in it. The Red Sox always get a lot of media attention as well which definitely doesn’t hurt.
It’s a two-man race in Houston with Jose Altuve +1200 and Carlos Correa +1800. I like Correa slighty more here as he has yet to have the huge breakout that many expect from him. We often forget that he is only 22 years old and is coming off a 4.9 WAR season. He should only get better and if he does that this year, he could be hard to argue against.
My favorite pick for the Indians isn’t listed in the odds for some reason. Francisco Lindor is their best player by far and he’s not even listed here? That’s weird and definitely someone that was overlooked. I’ll update when they fix this.
Finally, a quick look at the top 10 WAR projections for American League hitters from ZiPS:
With all due respect to Machado who will be great, but should be on a bad team, the name that jumps out to me here is Kyle Seager. He is a guy that just gets better and better every season. I’d really give him a hard look as the Mariners should make some noise this season. Seager (like Lindor he is also not currenly listed) or Robinson Cano at +3300 could be a steal here. This team hasn’t made the playoffs since 2001 and if they do it this year, that will be a feel good story which should get them some award consideration.
Complete AL MVP odds from 5Dimes are below.
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